Seven-day moving averages of the mean relative deviation, mean percent coverage, and mean interval width by the 95% Bayesian credible intervals, for each real-time phylodynamic strategies to infer the effective population size in each simulation scenario with preferential sampling (PS) and reporting delays in the observed data.
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posted on 2025-05-06, 17:45 authored by Catalina M. Medina, Julia A. Palacios, Volodymyr M. MininReal-time inference was performed with the Bayesian nonparametric phylodynamic reconstruction (BNPR) model, BNPR PS model, and with the delay-aware BNPR PS model with 500 simulations per scenario.
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affords reliable estimation2 sequences collected19 pandemic demonstrateduse genetic sequencestraditional surveillance dataphylodynamic methods closereffective population sizebased phylodynamic analysisascertainment biases presenttime phylodynamic analysesgenetic diversityextreme biasesaccurate analysissimulated datarecent datadata collectionxlink ">time analysestakes weekssituational awarenesssequenced samplespresent timepolicy decisionsoften resilientimportant setcertain conditions
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