posted on 2020-10-19, 17:32authored byBrandon Hollingsworth, Kenichi W. Okamoto, Alun L. Lloyd
<p>Control is shown in a seasonal (<i>r</i><sub><i>s</i></sub> = .02) host-vector model with <i>R</i><sub>0</sub> = 5. Beginning at time zero, a control is implemented that increases the vector mortality rate by 100% (corresponding to a 50% drop in vector life expectancy). This results in a reduction in prevalence (black curve) of the infection to near zero during the control period, where it remains until roughly time 3 yrs, at which point a large post-control outbreak occurs. RCI (red curve) falls towards zero during the control period and while prevalence remains low, but the post-control outbreak is large enough to bring RCI above 1 (peak of approx. 1.49).</p>