Boxplots of daytime temperature across neighborhoods between the 45th epidemiological week of 2015 and 16th week of 2018, according to administrative region, city of Natal, RN.

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posted on 2025-04-29, 18:15 authored by Mariane Branco Alves, Rafael Santos Erbisti, Aline Araújo Nobre, Taynãna César Simões, Alessandre de Medeiros Tavares, Márcia Cristina Melo, Rodrigo Moreira Pedreira, Jan Pierre Martins de Araújo, Marilia Sá Carvalho, Nildimar Alves Honório

The solid lines represent the moving average of daytime temperatures in a temporal window of four epidemiological weeks.

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endemic northeast city egg positivity index consider simultaneous variability bayesian spatiotemporial learning subsequent four weeks prior four weeks next four weeks areas consistently exhibiting support timely interventions optimal model revealed arboviruses like dengue identifying priority areas aedes aegypti proposed bayesian space egg density index weekly risk dynamics persistent dengue risk brazil forecasting dengue cases dengue occurrence probability priority areas aedes several weeks dengue cases transmission dynamics predictive model dengue occurrence dengue caises increased cases cases across zero periods zero occurrences timely identification time provides time analysis temporally heterogeneous statistical models spatial dependence significant rise rio grande remained concentrated realistic estimates previous week predictors included predictive maps offset term observation week intervention focused fitted using expected number epidemiological week deviation increase demographic indicators also quantifies

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Boxplots of daytime temperature across neighborhoods between the 45th epidemiological week of 2015 and 16th week of 2018, according to administrative region, city of Natal, RN.

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