Predicted change in fossil fuel electricity generating capacity: 1998–2014.

Notes: This figure plots the first stage relationship between change in fossil fuel electricity generating capacity and hydropower potential not developed because of the ecosystem preservation regulations. This convex relationship was estimated by Eq (19) of the Materials and Methods section. The range considered in the x-axis is the range observed in the data. See S6 Table for a list of the twenty counties in the sample with the highest values of hydro capacity not developed because of ecosystem preservation regulations.