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Numerical simulations under different control strategies combined with two or three measures.

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posted on 2020-03-27, 17:34 authored by Xiao-Hong Huang, Men-Bao Qian, Guang-Hu Zhu, Yue-Yi Fang, Yuan-Tao Hao, Ying-Si Lai

The left and right columns indicate chemotherapy targeted on whole population and at-risk population with raw-fish-consumption behaviors, respectively. The simulation of chemotherapy was once per year for five years. The black dotted lines indicate the observed baseline prevalence from survey data. The dash dot line indicates the transmission control prevalence (i.e., 1%). The solid lines indicate results based on best set of estimated parameters and the areas with lighter colors represent the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. (A1-A2) with coverage of chemotherapy Cm = 0.90, coverage of sanitation toilets Cd = 0 and improvement rate of both kinds of healthy behaviors Ce = 0.30, 0.60, 0.90 (red, green, blue, respectively); (B1-B2) with Cm = 0.90, Ce= 0 and Cd = 0.30, 0.60, 0.90 (red, green, blue, respectively); (C1-C2) with Cm = 0.90, Ce = Cd = 0.30, 0.60, 0.90 (red, green, blue, respectively); (D1-D2) with Ce = 0.90, Cd = 0 and Cm = 0.40, 0.60, 0.80 (red, green, blue, respectively); (E1-E2) with Cd = 0.90, Ce = 0 and Cm = 0.40, 0.60, 0.80 (red, green, blue, respectively); and (F1-F2) with Ce = Cd = 0.90 and Cm = 0.40, 0.60, 0.80 (red, green, blue, respectively).

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